rideside.net

Ok, so I found this site:

http://spartan.ac.brocku.ca/~jyuen/MLB/mlbpred.html

and it's stats are based on Data up through September 10th, which is fine by me.

They have all of the playoff contenders essentially right (based on highest probability) except for:
1) Boston getting the East and MFY getting the Wild Card
2) They have Cubs (.35) slightly better than Astros (.32) for the NLWC
3) They have Oakland (.50) better than Anaheim (.47) for the West

Nevertheless, I like their theory. Leaves us with:

Round 1:
Boston (.65) beats Anaheim (.29)
MFY (.41) beat Twinkies (.34)
Cards (.67) beat Dodgers (.34)
Atlanta (.56) beats Roger (.15)

Pennant:
Boston (.43) beats MFY (.15)
Cards (.39) beat Braves (.28)

WS:
Boston (.24) beats St Louis (.22)

Any numbers that have good news are sound in my book.

-=>J